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2010.11.28

第30回ジャパンカップ予想


現在の府中コースの適性を問うレース。ブエナビスタなのか、凱旋門賞で好走した馬なのか、
その辺りが焦点だと思います。
◎エイシンフラッシュは今年のダービー馬。父King’s Best。その父はKingmambo。
実は今年の凱旋門賞を勝ったWorkforceの父もKing’s Best。
それほど世界を席巻している訳ではない種牡馬が同じと云うのは単なる偶然と思えない。
これから世界を席巻すると思われます。
○ナカヤマフェスタは奇しくも同じKing’s Best産駒に苦杯を喫するのでしょう。
その構図をひっくり返すことが出来るとしたら▲シンゲンだと僕は思っています。
△ブエナビスタです。僕は、この馬のポカをやらかす辺りに期待してますが、ちゃんと走れば
東京や京都では強い競馬をする筈です。僕は2歳の頃からこの馬の強さを認めています。
アパパネなんかとはスケールが違うと思ってます。牡馬もだらしないのですが。
以上4頭、無難な予想でまとめてみました。
が、今回は、それだけじゃ足りませんね。畳みます。

まず、僕が◎に選んだエイシンフラッシュも3歳なのですが、3歳には2キロのアローワンスが
あります。それだけ若駒には厳しいということなのでしょうが、今年のジャパンカップは、
単なる実力だけではなく、このアローワンスが効いてくるんじゃないかと思います。
となると他の選択肢もあるでしょうが、僕はその中から×ローズキングダムを取ります。
あと、外国馬まで手が回らない状態ですが、選ぶなら×ジョシュアツリーです。
オブライエン師の胸中に勝算があってこその参戦と考えます。この馬も3歳。
オウケンブルースリや、ジャガーメイル、モアズウェルズなんかが突っ込んできたら、
それはそれでそういうレースなんでしょう。でも僕は馬券の損失以外でも失望します。
そんなレースは見たくもないです。
◎エイシンフラッシュ▲シンゲン×ジョシュアツリーの単勝は買いたいと思います。

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ブエナが斜行取られるとは思いませんでしたが、直線はいかにも外国人騎手同士らしいせめぎ合いやったと思います。
ワイはといえば、昨日は京都2歳Sで勝ち馬をパドックで拾って複勝を取ったところまではよかったのですが、後は調子に乗って儲けを吐き出し、JCはええとこなしでした。
結局、ホンマに唐津で今垣→中島の北陸ラインで損失を穴埋めさせてもらったのでした。

おお、損失埋めてるだけ、いいやん(笑)
僕は間違えてローズの単勝を買ってて880円でした(笑)

ピサの斜塔占拠事件の事忘れてました・・・。ピサの斜行(エイシンフラッシュに対する)も裁いて欲しかったなぁ。そうすれば3連単当りだったのに。

出たっ・・・。

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